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Norwegian

Is there a green paradox?

Link to article:

[PDF]

Authors:

Hoel, Michael

Year:

2010

Reference:

Memorandum
Number in series: 13

Summary

A sufficiently rapidly rising carbon tax may increase near-term emissions compared with the case of no carbon tax. Even so, such a carbon tax path may reduce total costs related to climate change, since the tax may reduce total carbon extraction. A government cannot commit to a speci.c carbon tax rate in the distant future. For reasonable assumptions about expectation formation, a higher present carbon tax will reduce near-term carbon emissions. Moreover, whatever the expectations about future tax rates are, near-term emissions will decline for a sufficiently high carbon tax. However, if the near-term tax rate for some reason is set below its optimal level, increased concern for the climate may change taxes in a manner that increases near-term emissions.

JEL:

Q31, Q38, Q41, Q48, Q54, Q58

Keywords:

climate change, exhaustible resources, green paradox, carbon tax

Project:

Oppdragsgiver: Norges forskningsråd, PETROSAM
Oppdragsgivers prosjektnr.: 184739
Frisch prosjekt: 3162 - Petroleum industry research in economics and economic management